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#我在头条搞创作#上证指数#
在博弈市场中从来就不是正确的就是赢家!博弈市场中存在三种人,一种是先知先觉,一种是后知后觉,一种是不知不觉。
细心观察盘面中的缝隙,找准时机,致命一击!
①在下跌背驰点时永远让昨人先进去,买阳不买阴!设好止损试错,一旦跌破止损就放弃重来!
②在上涨过程中枢震荡,买阴不买阳
③在上涨背驰点一旦发现情况不对,马上跑路
④本级别分仓分段操作,把成本尽大可能的降下来,让自己立于不败之地,到了次级别G点按照第一点严格执行!在有底仓的情况,身法更灵活,试错的风险大大降低!
⑤买点买,卖点卖!
⑥2~3个股票轮动操作,加大资金的运用率!
⑦调整自己的看盘习惯,不在G点不看盘,养精蓄锐才有好运气!没事吹吹牛,喝喝茶。否则,后果很严重!这一点非常重要!做不到远离股市!
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冠昊生物吧(300238)
冠昊生物吧
18.41-1.19-6.07%
帖子数2篇
火星du圣
影响力注册时长8个月
发表于 今天 12:47 来自Android版
帖子审核中,仅自己可见
更新于 今天 12:50
已答
转发
发表于 今天 10:48 来自Android版
帖子审核中,仅自己可见
更新于 今天 10:50
已答
明天跌破18
无识藏
影响力注册时长1个月
发表于 今天 10:25 来自股吧网页版
帖子审核中,仅自己可见
更新于 今天 10:26
已答两副对联
忙忙碌碌一碗饭 平平安安一张床 横批 众生平等攫取越多 损失越大 横批 结果一样
我爱家乡威海卫
影响力注册时长7年
发表于 04-24 12:33 来自Android版
帖子审核中,仅自己可见
更新于 今天 07:46
怎样才能穿越牛熊
影响力注册时长3.9年
发表于 06-14 12:34 来自股吧网页版
帖子审核中,仅自己可见
更新于 06-15 22:43
已答本维莫德乳膏---一朵耀眼鲜花
难道插错了地方?
迟来的涨停板
影响力注册时长3.2年
发表于 06-14 22:05 来自股吧网页版
帖子审核中,仅自己可见
更新于 06-15 19:49
已答金花股份去年底至今年初那段K线很美
行云流水,非常自然美。
发表于 06-15 19:27 来自股吧网页版
帖子审核中,仅自己可见
更新于 06-15 19:28
已答成大器还持仓吗
最近怎么消失了。
荒原中的果材
影响力注册时长5.3年
发表于 06-15 18:53 来自iPhone版
帖子审核中,仅自己可见
更新于 06-15 19:25
已答
30以上全是唱多的,20以下全是唱空?
vear21
影响力注册时长4.1年
发表于 06-15 19:16 来自Android版
帖子审核中,仅自己可见
更新于 06-15 19:19
已答
18.05的缺口,先补了再说吧,
未来music
影响力注册时长4.4年
发表于 06-14 07:28 来自Android版
帖子审核中,仅自己可见
更新于 06-15 17:08
已答我就不信
璠瑜mmm
影响力注册时长4.8年
发表于 06-14 19:51 来自股吧网页版
帖子审核中,仅自己可见
更新于 06-15 12:05
已答大股东为什么还不增持?
原因是什么?
股友S3KNlv1287
影响力注册时长3.2年
发表于 06-15 12:03 来自股吧网页版
帖子审核中,仅自己可见
更新于 06-15 12:04
已答
警告:此股破位,技术面至少下调到8.5元左右
返回顶部
手机网 eastmoney.com
(越声攻略(yslc688)整理,仅供参考,不构成操作建议。如自行操作,注意仓位控制和风险自负。)
为什么中国股市持续了10年3000点?
是中国股市十年未涨吗?
让我们一起来看看:
这是过去上证指数在过去的走势图。
从图形上看,是什么形状?——尖顶圆底。翻译成日用语,那就是——牛短熊长。
还有哪些股票的走势是尖顶圆底呢?
我随便截几个图给大家看看。
这三只股票是不是很像上证综指的走势?
以上三只股票分别是三一重工、江西铜业、金岭矿业。都是周期股的范畴。
周期股为什么是尖顶圆底的走势呢?当周期股出于周期低估的时候,按照PB估值;当周期的风来了,开始赚的盘满钵满的时候,按照PE估值。
因为是周期股,周期一旦逆转,利润经常是几十倍、几倍的增长。但是暴利阶段一般不能持续很长久,很快利润就下去了。所以公司在景气周期来的时候,戴维斯双击;景气周期过去的时候,戴维斯双杀。所以公司股价表现为尖顶。
但是当公司出于持续亏损阶段时,按照PB估值时,公司的净资产波动性就小多了。所以股价跌破净资产时,会达到一个稳态,然后不跌了。因为净资产波动幅度很小。所以公司的股价是圆底。
上证综指之所以走成这个样子,就是因为成分股中周期股太多了。
给大家分享一套完整的交易策略分析(图解):
1、当市场走出单边下跌的时候,我们没什么操作的想法,此时应空仓观望。
2、哪怕中间不停地震荡,仍然是下跌,我们的操作就是一致的看空,此时应继续观望,等待底部。
3、一旦某一次的震荡之后,市场拒绝新低并再度向上时,我们应第一时间做出【空头平仓】的操作。
4、市场无外乎两种可能:向上或者向下,可能会有人说,还可以横盘震荡,没错,但最终市场还是会给出方向,此时应静观其变,再做选择。
5、第一种可能【向上突破】我们的操作就是在突破的瞬间进场做多,此时应该快速跟进,买入。
6、股价一路飙升,没有什么好说的,一路持有!【拒绝多余的操作】,此时应持股待涨,
7、直到某一天市场拒绝再创新高,我们的操作【多头平仓】获利了结,此时应快速卖出,止盈。
8、突破这里,创新低,我们【空头开仓】,此时立刻出局,锁定利润。
9、第二种可能:一旦方向明确,向下突破前低【空头再次开仓】,此时静观其变,选择方向。
10、上升初期回落到突破点一下你有两种选择:1、多头平仓。2、设置止损点,可以是突破点向下N%。
11、股价如能突破,再次【多头开仓】,此时应该低吸高抛,心随股动。
牢记这9张思维导图,你就是赢家!
1、股市导图总纲
2、K线基础
3、均线基础
4、切线基础
5、指标分析
6、统计分析
7、选股方法
8、板块轮动
9、股市中的各色骗局
由于版面有限,如果看不清图片或喜欢小编的文章,可关注*越声攻略(yslc688),更多后市操作及股票技术分析方法等你来学习,干货源源不断!
声明:本内容由越声攻略提供,不代表投资快报认可其投资观点。
今天,又是“高开低走”的一天。
上证指数日线 20200423
数据Wind
开始给人希望,最后又让人失望。
万般情绪中,它最能给人满满的负能量。
如果评选“最不受股民欢迎的股价走势”,除了暴跌,应该就是“高开低走”了。
“A股为啥总是高开低走?”
最近,总听到有人这样抱怨。
事实真是这样吗?我有一丝丝怀疑。
还是用数据验证一下吧。
本文把开盘价高于前一日收盘价,定义为“高开”,反之为“低开”;
当日收盘价低于开盘价定义为“低走”,反之为“高走”。
那么交易日的走势大致可以分为高开低走、低开高走、高开高走、低开低走这四类(平开、平走的次数极少)。
以上证指数为例,从今年2月26日跌破3000点、震荡走弱以来,截止4月23日:
“高开低走”的走势共发生了10次,占了期间41个交易日的不到四分之一。
好像并没有“总是”。
与之对应的,“低开高走”也发生了10次,和“高开低走”一样。
此外,“高开高走”发生了10次,“低开低走”发生了11次。
四种走势出现的次数基本一样。
当然,如果只看上证指数,好像不够让人信服。
接下来,我们把深证成指、沪深300、创业板指加进来,一起看看:
2020年2月26日至4月23日四大指数走势
数据Wind、小基快跑
创业板指和深证成指“高开低走”发生的次数要多一点,分别为14次和12次,但也不到期间41个交易日的35%。
所以,从其他几个指数来看,“高开低走”也并不频繁。
有人说,上面这个测算区间太短,把时间拉长,“高开低走”占的比例肯定不小。
没问题。接下来我们把上证指数、深证成指、沪深300、创业板指上市以来每个交易的数据都计算看看——
数据Wind、小基快跑
“高开低走”的交易日占比都不到25%;
在四种走势中,“高开低走”反而是出现频率*的一种。
另外,四大指数中,“低开高走”的占比都超过了25%,创业板指“低开高走”出现频率达到30%!比“高开低走”的出现频率多了12个百分点。
如果说“高开低走”是A股的*绝技,上证指数、深证成指、沪深300、创业板指都不会同意。
还有人不死心,说“高开低走”在熊市里出现得多。
我们把上证指数的走势(蓝线)和“高开低走”的交易日(黄线)叠加在一起——
数据Wind、小基快跑
恕我眼拙,真没看出来“高开低走”在熊市比较多。
还有人说,A股出现“高开低走”的频率要比其他股市高。
那我们就拿美股来PK一下。
道琼斯指数从1930年以来截止2020年4月22日,共17589个交易日(剔除平开、平走的交易日),其中,
“高开低走”的交易日有3947个,占比22%。
道琼斯指数出现“高开低走”的频率,和上证指数相同,高于沪深300和创业板指。
数据Wind、小基快跑
所以,如果说“高开低走”是A股的*绝技,美股也不同意。
总结一下,“高开低走”只是一种普通的股价走势,并没有多特殊,也没有经常出现。不论是A股还是美股,都一样。
那为什么大家对“高开低走”的印象这么深呢?
可能是因为损失厌恶。
想象一个场景:我给你一个苹果。
你大概会比较感到高兴。
换一个场景再体会一下:我给你两个苹果。
接着,我向你要回了一个。
请问,哪一个场景更糟糕?
从理性上讲,这两个场景你的所得是等价的,但大多数人会觉得第二个场景的体验更糟糕。
在第二个场景中,你对损失一个苹果的厌恶,已经严重削弱了得到一个苹果的喜悦。
这就是损失厌恶,损失带来的痛苦远大于收益带给我们的满足感。
“高开”代表着上涨,代表着盈利,但“低走”意味着这部分收益最后化为泡影。
对损失的厌恶,让大家对高开低走“深恶痛绝”,进而印象深刻。
希望你看完上面的数据,不再把“高开低走”当回事。
毕竟,情绪是投资的大敌。
本文*于*小基快跑(xiaojikuaipao2014)
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